Sergipe vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
75.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
BOC
0 - 1
SER
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
ITA
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
LAG
2 - 1
SER
27%
26%
47%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SER
1 - 2
BOT
15%
23%
61%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
SER
0 - 2
GOI
5%
12%
83%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
FOZ
0 - 0
CEA
9%
18%
73%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
CEA
4%
10%
86%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
CEA
3 - 0
GUA
84%
13%
4%
|
75 | 40 | 35 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
CEA
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
CEA
2 - 0
HOR
81%
14%
5%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | +1 |