Sergipe vs Campinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 1
SER
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SER
3 - 3
MUR
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
SER
64%
22%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
FLU
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 1
FLU
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
FLU
2 - 1
CAM
32%
29%
39%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
SER
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 1
BOT
42%
26%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
CAM
26%
28%
46%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |