Sergipe vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
70.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ATG
0 - 0
SER
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
SER
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
VIT
17%
23%
59%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CON
1 - 0
SER
67%
21%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLA
17%
22%
61%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
VAS
2 - 0
BOT
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 0
BAN
84%
13%
4%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BOA
0 - 4
BOT
8%
19%
73%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 0
NOV
82%
13%
5%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |