Sergipe vs Boca Júnior FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CON
2 - 1
SER
75%
17%
9%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
COR
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
FLU
2 - 1
SER
62%
23%
15%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
SAL
20%
25%
56%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
SAL
4 - 3
SER
73%
18%
8%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BOC
1 - 3
AFP
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LAG
3 - 0
BOC
53%
24%
22%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
BOC
0 - 1
SER
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CON
4 - 0
BOC
79%
15%
6%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BOC
1 - 0
ITA
23%
25%
51%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +3 |