Sergipe vs Boca Júnior FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
CON
3 - 2
SER
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SER
1 - 2
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 0
SER
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
SER
2 - 1
AFP
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BAH
3 - 0
SER
80%
15%
5%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
BOC
7 - 1
AFP
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BOC
2 - 4
CON
17%
23%
61%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
CON
2 - 1
BOC
77%
16%
7%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 3
BOC
45%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BOC
2 - 1
AMA
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |