Sergipe vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
42.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 1
SER
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 2
SER
19%
23%
58%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
SER
3 - 1
BOC
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
CON
3 - 2
SER
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SER
1 - 2
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
ARN
3 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ASS
0 - 2
ARN
30%
26%
45%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ARN
3 - 3
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 2
ARN
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ARN
2 - 2
GLO
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |