Sergipe vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 0
SER
46%
27%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
SER
3 - 0
BOC
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SER
2 - 1
SOC
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AFP
0 - 3
SER
23%
21%
56%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
JEC
45%
25%
31%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SOC
1 - 1
AMA
43%
23%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 1
AFP
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
OSE
6 - 2
AMA
10%
15%
75%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | -3 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 3
BOC
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 2
SER
19%
23%
58%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |