Sergipe vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
SER
26%
27%
47%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
LAG
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
SER
19%
23%
59%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 0
SER
23%
23%
54%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 2
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 1
SOC
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 2
BOC
48%
23%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
AMA
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 1
AMA
39%
25%
37%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 3
CON
16%
22%
63%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | -1 |