Sergipe vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SER
4 - 0
ALA
39%
25%
37%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
SER
2 - 0
AME
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
SER
82%
14%
4%
|
47 | 85 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CRB
1 - 0
SER
80%
15%
5%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
SER
13%
22%
65%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AFP
1 - 2
ATG
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AFP
0 - 0
AME
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FFC
3 - 3
AFP
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FFC
6 - 0
AFP
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
AFP
4 - 1
BOC
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +2 |