Sergipe vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
ABC
2 - 1
SER
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
SER
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
COR
0 - 0
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
BRA
30%
26%
43%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 1
SER
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
AFP
4 - 1
SOC
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BOC
1 - 0
AFP
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AFP
1 - 0
LAG
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CON
2 - 0
AFP
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
AFP
0 - 0
ITA
16%
22%
61%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +1 |