RFC Seraing vs Heist analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RFC Seraing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 1
SER
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
LOM
28%
25%
48%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
GEE
0 - 2
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
WSW
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 1
SER
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
PAT
3 - 0
HEI
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
HEI
1 - 3
UNI
33%
27%
41%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
DES
3 - 1
HEI
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
HEI
0 - 1
LIE
24%
24%
53%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
HEI
1 - 6
TUB
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |