Seregno vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
MES
1 - 0
SER
81%
11%
8%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
CAT
2 - 0
SER
76%
14%
10%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
SER
2 - 1
BAR
42%
23%
35%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
BRE
2 - 0
SER
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
VIC
2 - 0
SER
76%
14%
10%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
SAL
1 - 0
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
SAL
0 - 0
SIR
60%
20%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
SAL
1 - 0
CAT
61%
20%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
SAL
2 - 1
SPE
58%
21%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
SPA
2 - 1
SAL
75%
14%
10%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |