Seregno vs Pol. Ciliverghe analysis


33	ELO	27
-12%	Tilt	4.9%
22763º	General ELO ranking	27110º
592º	Country ELO ranking	729º
ELO win probability

52.4%

Seregno

22.8%

Draw

24.8%

Pol. Ciliverghe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

52.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%

22.8%

Draw

0-0

4.8%

1-1

10.6%

2-2

5.8%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

22.8%

24.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

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ELO progression

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Matches