Seregno vs Olginatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SON
1 - 2
SER
19%
21%
61%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ASS
0 - 2
SER
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SER
2 - 2
VAR
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PSM
1 - 2
SER
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
PIA
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Olginatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
OLG
2 - 0
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
OLG
2 - 1
PRO
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MAP
2 - 5
OLG
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
OLG
3 - 0
FIO
51%
25%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
BUS
3 - 0
OLG
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |