Seregno vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
ANC
2 - 1
SER
75%
14%
11%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
SER
1 - 2
PIS
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
SPA
4 - 0
SER
83%
11%
7%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
SER
0 - 1
SAL
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
MES
1 - 0
SER
81%
11%
8%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
MOD
0 - 0
REG
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
UNI
2 - 0
MOD
65%
19%
16%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
BAR
0 - 0
MOD
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
MOD
2 - 0
MES
63%
19%
18%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
MOD
2 - 0
SIR
64%
19%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |