Seregno vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
SER
2 - 0
CAT
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
PRO
2 - 0
SER
80%
12%
8%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
SER
1 - 0
VAR
29%
22%
49%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1938 |
ATL
3 - 1
SER
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
SER
3 - 1
FAL
86%
9%
5%
|
42 | 11 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
LIV
2 - 1
MES
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
JPA
2 - 0
MES
20%
21%
59%
|
57 | 16 | 41 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
DOM
2 - 0
MES
20%
21%
59%
|
57 | 17 | 40 | 0 |