Seregno vs MapelloBonate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
GRU
3 - 1
SER
44%
26%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
FIO
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 1
SER
19%
24%
57%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SER
2 - 0
BUS
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PON
1 - 0
SER
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
MapelloBonate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
MAP
0 - 0
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MAP
1 - 1
PRO
45%
25%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GRU
2 - 0
MAP
72%
16%
11%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MAP
2 - 1
PON
21%
24%
56%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 1
MAP
61%
22%
17%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |