Seregno vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
39.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
UNI
7 - 0
SER
82%
11%
7%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
VER
2 - 1
SER
79%
13%
8%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
SER
0 - 1
TRE
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
MOD
4 - 0
SER
74%
15%
11%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
SER
3 - 1
ANC
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
LIV
4 - 0
BRE
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
SIR
2 - 1
LIV
61%
19%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
SAL
4 - 2
LIV
53%
23%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
LIV
1 - 0
UNI
40%
24%
36%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
TRE
0 - 2
LIV
57%
20%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |