Seregno vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
70.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
OLG
2 - 2
SER
50%
24%
25%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SER
2 - 2
FOL
30%
26%
45%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
GOZ
2 - 0
SER
79%
15%
7%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
SER
1 - 3
ASD
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
INV
1 - 1
SER
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
CAR
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
PAV
1 - 2
COM
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
DER
83%
13%
4%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
ARC
0 - 3
COM
9%
19%
72%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
COM
3 - 1
VAR
44%
26%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |