Seregno vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
PRO
2 - 0
SER
80%
12%
8%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
SER
1 - 0
VAR
29%
22%
49%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1938 |
ATL
3 - 1
SER
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
SER
3 - 1
FAL
86%
9%
5%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
SER
1 - 0
COM
28%
23%
50%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
NAP
2 - 1
CAT
69%
17%
14%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1950 |
ACP
0 - 1
CAT
46%
24%
30%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
CAT
2 - 1
VIC
60%
21%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
CAT
1 - 0
PRO
84%
10%
6%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
UDI
2 - 0
CAT
77%
13%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |