Seregno vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
CAL
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
DCA
0 - 1
SER
26%
25%
50%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
SER
2 - 0
ARC
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
NIB
0 - 1
SER
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SER
3 - 0
VIL
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 0
ASD
49%
26%
25%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
VFC
2 - 2
CAS
20%
21%
59%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 0
LAV
58%
24%
19%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FEZ
1 - 0
CAS
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 0
BOR
53%
26%
21%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |