Seregno vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
3 - 2
SER
74%
16%
9%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SER
2 - 1
VAR
15%
22%
63%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +3 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 3
SER
19%
20%
61%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
PAV
3 - 0
SER
70%
18%
13%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SER
1 - 3
BOR
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
PAV
22%
24%
54%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 1
CAS
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAR
17%
26%
58%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
PRO
2 - 0
CAS
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
DER
69%
20%
11%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |