Seregno vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 0
SER
45%
24%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SER
2 - 3
VIL
42%
22%
36%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -3 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
BOR
1 - 2
SER
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
CAS
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
3 - 2
SER
74%
16%
9%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 0
CIS
53%
23%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PON
1 - 0
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -3 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
BUS
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SCA
3 - 3
CAR
36%
27%
37%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
CIS
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |