Seregno vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
36.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
FAN
4 - 0
SER
83%
10%
7%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
SER
1 - 2
REG
38%
23%
39%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
VNZ
3 - 0
SER
77%
14%
10%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
SER
1 - 1
LIV
38%
23%
40%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
UNI
7 - 0
SER
82%
11%
7%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
PIS
2 - 0
SPE
53%
22%
25%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
SPE
5 - 0
VNZ
61%
20%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
CAT
2 - 1
SPE
55%
21%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
SPE
3 - 0
UNI
46%
23%
32%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
SPE
1 - 0
USC
68%
17%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |