Seregno vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
PIS
1 - 0
SER
80%
12%
8%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
SER
5 - 2
SPA
33%
22%
45%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
SAL
3 - 1
SER
77%
13%
10%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
SER
2 - 3
MES
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
SER
2 - 0
CAT
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
ANC
1 - 3
LIV
52%
21%
26%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
MES
0 - 1
ANC
64%
18%
18%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
CAT
2 - 1
ANC
60%
20%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
ANC
1 - 2
SPE
55%
22%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
ANC
0 - 0
UNI
48%
23%
29%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |