Sered vs DAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
59.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sered
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
TRE
1 - 0
SER
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SER
0 - 0
RUZ
32%
25%
43%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
SEN
2 - 2
SER
37%
27%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SER
1 - 2
ZMO
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
SBR
3 - 0
SER
85%
11%
4%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
DAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
TNV
0 - 2
DAC
21%
24%
55%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
NIT
0 - 1
DAC
17%
22%
61%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
DAC
0 - 0
FKP
79%
15%
6%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
DAC
1 - 1
SBR
25%
23%
52%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ZEM
2 - 4
DAC
15%
22%
64%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |