Serbia U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
3.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serbia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2015 |
DEN
2 - 0
SRB
50%
23%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
SRB
0 - 4
CZE
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
GER
1 - 1
SRB
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 1
SRB
76%
16%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
SRB
0 - 1
SWE
43%
25%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
SVN
3 - 0
LTU
76%
17%
8%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
AND
1 - 0
LTU
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
LTU
39%
26%
36%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
LTU
1 - 2
TJK
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
KAZ
1 - 0
LTU
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |