Serbia U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
57%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serbia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
SRB
1 - 1
MKD
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CYP
2 - 2
SRB
15%
23%
62%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
BGR
1 - 1
SRB
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
FRO
1 - 1
SRB
15%
20%
66%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 0
SRB
77%
15%
7%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 4
GER
28%
24%
49%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 1
JPN
73%
17%
11%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 2
ENG
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
4 - 1
IRL
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
SWE
1 - 1
ITA
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |