Serbia U19 vs Bulgaria U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serbia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
GER
2 - 2
SRB
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
UKR
1 - 1
SRB
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
IRL
1 - 3
SRB
30%
23%
47%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
SRB
6 - 0
ISL
74%
17%
10%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
SRB
1 - 1
TUR
46%
23%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
BGR
0 - 1
UKR
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
BGR
0 - 3
GER
11%
18%
72%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
BGR
1 - 1
ITA
25%
23%
53%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
CZE
0 - 2
BGR
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
SWE
1 - 2
BGR
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |