Serbia and Montenegro vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
76.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.3%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serbia and Montenegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
BGR
0 - 0
SCG
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
BEL
0 - 2
SCG
88%
9%
3%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
SCG
5 - 0
SMR
88%
10%
3%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
BIH
0 - 0
SCG
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
SMR
0 - 3
SCG
13%
21%
67%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ESP
3 - 0
CHN
80%
14%
6%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
ESP
5 - 0
SMR
96%
4%
1%
|
98 | 43 | 55 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 0
ENG
55%
24%
21%
|
98 | 98 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
LTU
0 - 0
ESP
11%
22%
67%
|
98 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 0
BEL
67%
19%
13%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |