Serbia and Montenegro vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serbia and Montenegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
SCG
2 - 0
FIN
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ITA
1 - 1
SCG
91%
8%
1%
|
78 | 98 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
KSA
0 - 2
SCG
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
SCG
0 - 1
KSA
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2001 |
SCG
2 - 2
IRQ
30%
24%
46%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
AZE
0 - 2
WAL
6%
17%
77%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
FIN
3 - 0
AZE
91%
7%
3%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
AZE
0 - 2
ITA
6%
22%
72%
|
64 | 98 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
AZE
2 - 0
UZB
18%
22%
59%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2002 |
IRN
1 - 1
AZE
92%
7%
2%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |