Serbia y Montenegro U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
65.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serbia y Montenegro U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
SWE
1 - 1
SYM
71%
17%
12%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2004 |
BLR
1 - 2
SYM
62%
21%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
ITA
2 - 1
SYM
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
SYM
3 - 2
CRO
22%
23%
55%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
NOR
3 - 0
SYM
65%
19%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ITA
3 - 1
POR
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2004 |
ITA
1 - 0
CRO
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
ITA
2 - 1
SYM
79%
14%
7%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
ITA
1 - 2
BLR
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2004 |
ITA
3 - 1
POL
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |