Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
12º
16º
12º
31
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 76 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 60 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 58 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 58 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 52 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 46 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 38 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 34 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 25 |
14º
|
38% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 21 |
15º
|
45% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 18 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 2% |
|
Next round
|
3% | 89% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
SEP
1 - 1
CSK
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
HEB
1 - 2
SEP
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SEP
3 - 2
SSO
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FLK
2 - 0
SEP
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
SEP
2 - 3
LPL
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SVA
0 - 2
CVA
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
BVR
1 - 1
SVA
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SVA
0 - 0
LSO
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 1
SVA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SVA
1 - 0
ARK
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |