Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
SEP
12%
22%
66%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
STR
1 - 1
SEP
18%
24%
58%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
BVR
1 - 0
SEP
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
SEP
3 - 0
LOK
77%
16%
8%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
SEP
3 - 0
SPO
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SVA
2 - 1
STR
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
ETA
1 - 0
SVA
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
CHE
3 - 3
SVA
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
SVA
0 - 1
OFK
24%
23%
53%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
UST
1 - 3
SVA
15%
21%
65%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |