Septemvri Sofia vs Pirin Blagoevgrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
6º
4º
34
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
34 | 10 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
BER
2 - 0
SEP
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SEP
0 - 1
OFK
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
LSO
2 - 0
SEP
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SEP
1 - 2
SSO
36%
27%
36%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
SVA
2 - 0
SEP
30%
26%
45%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pirin Blagoevgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
OFK
2 - 1
HEB
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SEP
0 - 1
OFK
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
OFK
2 - 4
BOT
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BER
1 - 0
OFK
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
OFK
0 - 1
CSK
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |