Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
SEP
4 - 0
SOZ
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
LOV
2 - 3
SEP
35%
27%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SEP
0 - 0
SEP
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
FKM
1 - 0
SEP
14%
24%
63%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
DOB
0 - 1
SEP
21%
26%
53%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
LUD
1 - 1
SOZ
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
SEP
1 - 1
LUD
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
LUD
3 - 0
YAN
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
HEB
1 - 3
LUD
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
STR
0 - 0
LUD
29%
27%
45%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |