Septemvri Sofia vs Hebar Pazardzhik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
NEF
0 - 2
SEP
26%
26%
49%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SEP
3 - 2
KAR
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 1
SEP
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SEP
4 - 3
LOV
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2019 |
SEP
2 - 0
OFK
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 4
HEB
13%
20%
67%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
STR
2 - 1
HEB
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
HEB
0 - 0
LOK
62%
21%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
POM
0 - 1
HEB
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
HEB
1 - 3
MON
41%
28%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |