Septemvri Sofia vs Tsarsko Selo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
22.3%
68.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
20.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.5%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
SEP
0 - 2
DUN
8%
16%
77%
|
32 | 70 | 38 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
SOZ
1 - 0
SEP
79%
15%
7%
|
32 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SEP
1 - 0
FKV
20%
25%
55%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +5 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CSK
1 - 1
SEP
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 64 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SEP
0 - 0
BGA
15%
24%
62%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Tsarsko Selo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
FCT
1 - 5
SPA
68%
20%
11%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
OBO
0 - 3
FCT
19%
26%
54%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FCT
5 - 0
LEV
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 21 | 47 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 1
FCT
22%
27%
51%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
FCT
0 - 2
LSO
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |