Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
45.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
12º
16º
13º
21
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 76 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 58 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 58 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 57 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 52 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 41 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 40 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 32 |
11º
|
31% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 31 |
12º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 22 |
15º
|
42% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
1.5% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
98.5% | 70.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
HEB
1 - 2
SEP
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SEP
3 - 2
SSO
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FLK
2 - 0
SEP
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
SEP
2 - 3
LPL
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
BVR
2 - 0
SEP
34%
27%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CSKA 1948 Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
LPL
0 - 2
CSK
42%
28%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 4
LSO
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
BVR
0 - 3
CSK
23%
27%
50%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 0
SSO
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 0
CSK
31%
28%
42%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |