Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2019 |
SEP
2 - 3
DUN
48%
24%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 1
SEP
39%
25%
37%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
SEP
3 - 0
VER
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
VER
0 - 3
SEP
11%
18%
71%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
LPL
1 - 2
SEP
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Arda Kardzhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2019 |
BGA
2 - 3
ARK
23%
27%
50%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ARK
1 - 0
CSK
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ARK
2 - 0
POM
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
FCT
2 - 1
ARK
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
ARK
1 - 0
DOB
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |