Septemvri Simitli vs Slivnishki Geroy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
AKA
2 - 0
SEP
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SEP
2 - 2
BAN
37%
28%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
MAL
3 - 2
SEP
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
SEP
1 - 4
LUD
17%
23%
60%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SEP
0 - 1
PIR
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Slivnishki Geroy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 0
SLI
67%
21%
13%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SLI
0 - 4
PIR
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
4 - 3
SLI
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SLI
3 - 0
CHA
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
AKA
4 - 2
SLI
64%
21%
16%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |