Septemvri Simitli vs Hebar Pazardzhik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
LUD
4 - 0
SEP
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SEP
3 - 0
LKL
74%
17%
10%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
DOB
3 - 0
SEP
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SEP
1 - 2
LOV
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
SEP
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
HEB
3 - 0
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
HEB
2 - 1
LUD
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
LKL
0 - 3
HEB
14%
21%
65%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
HEB
2 - 0
DOB
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
LOV
2 - 0
HEB
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |