Septemvri Simitli vs Chavdar Byala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
13.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ETA
0 - 0
SEP
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SEP
3 - 0
PIR
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
VIH
0 - 0
SEP
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 1
SEP
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SEP
3 - 1
BOT
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Chavdar Byala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 2
SPO
31%
28%
42%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BVR
2 - 1
CHA
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAL
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 2
CHA
71%
19%
10%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 0
CHA
39%
28%
33%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -2 |