Septemvri Simitli vs Botev Krivodol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MAL
2 - 2
SEP
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
BAN
4 - 0
SEP
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SEP
1 - 0
CHA
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ETA
0 - 0
SEP
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SEP
3 - 0
PIR
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Botev Krivodol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 2
MAL
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 1
BOT
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 2
BVR
27%
27%
47%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VIH
1 - 2
BOT
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
BOT
64%
22%
14%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |