Septemvri Simitli vs Akademik Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SEP
3 - 3
CHA
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SEP
0 - 1
SPO
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
PIR
3 - 1
SEP
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SEP
1 - 2
BVR
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
ETA
1 - 0
SEP
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Akademik Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
AKA
2 - 1
PIR
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
CSK
3 - 1
AKA
80%
15%
5%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
AKA
0 - 3
LSO
14%
24%
62%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
AKA
1 - 2
LPL
16%
25%
59%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
OFK
6 - 0
AKA
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |