Sepsi vs Universitatea Craiova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
12º
9º
16
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 54 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
|
4º
|
16 | 48 |
2º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 47 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 45 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 44 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 44 |
6º
|
5% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 44 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 43 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 43 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 42 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 40 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 38 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 36 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 33 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 28 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 26 |
16º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
35.5% | 66% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
64.5% | 34% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sepsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 2
SSG
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SSG
1 - 1
DBU
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
GLO
1 - 2
SSG
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SSG
1 - 0
CSM
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
SSG
1 - 3
AUS
36%
24%
39%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CSU
0 - 0
PET
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CSU
3 - 2
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CLU
0 - 2
CSU
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
CSU
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CSU
4 - 2
UTA
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |