Sepsi vs Botosani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
12º
8º
6
9º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 54 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 47 |
2º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 47 |
3º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 45 |
4º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 44 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 44 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 43 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 43 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 42 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 40 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 40 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 36 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 29 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 24 |
16º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
45.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
54.5% | 97% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sepsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 0
SSG
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SSG
0 - 1
UNI
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
UCL
3 - 0
SSG
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SSG
1 - 2
CSU
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 2
SSG
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botosani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 2
PET
46%
27%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 1
BOT
9%
17%
74%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CLU
3 - 0
BOT
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
UTA
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |