Sepahan Esfahan vs Aluminium Arak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
3º
3º
39
4º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sepahan Esfahan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
SPF
0 - 5
SEP
19%
26%
55%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
SEP
3 - 1
FOO
67%
21%
13%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SEP
4 - 1
MES
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 1
SEP
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
SEP
1 - 0
ALQ
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aluminium Arak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
AAK
0 - 0
GOH
34%
30%
36%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
AAK
39%
30%
31%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
AAK
1 - 1
PAY
51%
28%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
FOO
1 - 0
AAK
41%
32%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
AAK
1 - 1
ZOB
43%
30%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |