Seongnam FC vs Busan I Park analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
12º
13º
46
3º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 62 |
1º
|
67.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 59 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 56 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 56 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 55 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 55 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 54 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 48 |
8º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 43 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 43 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 38 |
11º
|
43% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 35 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 8% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 9% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 49% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 34% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seongnam FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
CDR
2 - 0
SEO
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GYE
1 - 2
SEO
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SEO
2 - 1
SUW
20%
27%
53%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SEO
1 - 2
CHE
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
SEO
1 - 0
SUW
22%
23%
56%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 0
BUS
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BUS
2 - 3
KOR
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BUS
2 - 1
ANG
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 3
BUS
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 2
BUS
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |