Senegal vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CIV
0 - 1
SEN
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ALG
2 - 2
SEN
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ENG
3 - 0
SEN
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 2
SEN
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
QAT
1 - 3
SEN
49%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
COD
0 - 0
UGA
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2023 |
UGA
1 - 1
CMR
24%
28%
48%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TAN
1 - 0
UGA
28%
27%
46%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
LBY
0 - 0
UGA
36%
26%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UGA
3 - 0
TAN
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |